The chronicle of a dark and dangerous journey through a world gone mad.

Friday, August 2, 2019

Playing Sherlock

Sheila and I are mystery fans.  We watch a ton of them on TV, mostly British and European.  But, I have developed an annoying habit that drives Sheila nuts.  Half of the time or more, we will start a mystery program and five or ten minutes into it, I start doing something else. She will ask why and I will tell her I already know "who done it."  I am right a lot more often than I am wrong.  When I am wrong it is often because the writer "cheated."  Yes, there are rules for mystery writers and knowing those rules really helps you understand what is going on.

So, the question becomes, how do I do it?  The answer is pretty simple actually.  I don't let myself get sucked into the narrative.  In law school they teach you to think and present arguments in terms of "fact patterns."  Fact patterns are individual bits of information (which may or may not be factual btw) which can be put together in such a way as to win your argument.  This form of presentation was nothing new to me in law school.  I had been taught the same thing decades before in high dollar business persuasion classes.  The trick with mysteries is to ignore the story line itself and analyze the individual bits of information in terms of where the writers are trying to take you.  In short, you have to get into the head of the writers behind the stage not the actors on the stage.  After that, it is all pretty simple.

Politics, business and even religion all work the same way.  There is always a popular, attractive narrative, the zeitgeist if you will.  There are always actors on the stage and there always writers, producers and directors behind the stage who are actually controlling the events.  When you learn to ignore the actors and the public narrative and instead analyze the motives and goals of the writers, producers and directors you are much better equipped to both deal with the situation and predict where the real people in charge are trying to take you. 

By now, a few of you are thinking, "He is espousing a conspiratorial view of history."  Congratulations to those few.  You are absolutely correct.  History, whether it be of politics, business or religion is one giant ball of conspiracies. As a matter of fact, if you truly believe your Bible, history is one giant conspiracy to control the souls of men.  You would do well to keep that fact in mind when analyzing current events. 

But you may ask, "Since we only see the actors and hear the narrative how are we supposed to know what the controllers behind the scenes are planning and doing?  The details are too complex to describe in a blog post but here are some simple rules to get you started.

First, ABC.  Accept nothing at face value.  Believe no one.  Check everything.  The world is full of lies and liars.  For the purpose of this discussion there are three types of liars.  The first simply say what they have to say to accomplish their current goals.  These folks may border on sociopathy which is becoming more and more common in our culture.  But, at least this person knows he is lying.  He just doesn't care.  The second group honestly believe what they are saying but are mistaken.  For the record, in criminal matters eye witness testimony is notoriously unreliable.  The third group lie to themselves to the point that they truthfully believe what they are saying because the alternatives are simply too painful to accept.  The truth in any matter is usually the needle hidden in a haystack of lies.  This is especially true in politics.

Second, MOM.  Motive.  Opportunity.  Method.  When you are analyzing a statement or fact bit always look for a motive for its presentation.  What does this actor/speaker/organization have to gain or lose by offering this information?  If you hear someone presenting information out of a sense of duty that may cause them personal loss you can usually rely on it.  In legal terms this is called a "statement against interests" and is usually presumed to be the truth.  As you continue analyzing always keep the time line current.  Time is the task master of events.  Do the times line up with the statement?  And finally, is the method credible or even possible.  This works for criminal investigations or political analysis equally as well.  For example, there is no way 96 year old granny in a wheel chair could have beaten her abusive 25 year old drug dealing grandson to death with her fists even though she had both motive and opportunity.  Or, there is no way given the resources of the federal budget that the United States can offer free healthcare at current quality levels to every citizen.  Here, the motive is noble and the opportunity is there with a controlling political majority but the method fails because it is impossible with the resources available.

Third, always pay close attention to inside information.  The producers, directors and writers of this world do not publicly discuss their intentions.  They want you to listen to the narrative and watch the actors instead of watching them.  But, they don't work in a vacuum. So, when you get inside information evaluate it carefully.

In summary, don't get sucked into the popular narrative on anything whether it is your favorite mystery program or a political contest.  Always analyze everything carefully using ABC and MOM. And finally, when you have inside information pay attention to it. 
  

1 comment:

  1. Globalist began their agenda just after the turn of the last century. In the 40's and 50's they were successful at converting Hollywood, Academia and the news media to their agenda, therefore we now have almost 3 generations in tune with their narrative. Without paying very close attention it is almost impossible to pick up on the occasional facts and motives that slip out of the narrative. I don't think this trend is reversible until this planet has lost the last nation that offers freedom to the masses.

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